Lia Karatancheva vs Arina Rodionova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance: Rodionova has a slightly lower success rate on second serves at 36.95% compared to Karatancheva's 39.92%. Could this give Karatancheva an advantage in serve-related points?
• Return game effectiveness: Rodionova excels in returning their opponent's second serve with 50.35% success, surpassing Karatancheva's 48.24%. This could hint at Rodionova's edge in breaking serves.
• First serve return stats: Karatancheva leads with 38.19% compared to Rodionova's 35.63%, indicating a potential strength in handling powerful serves.
• Performance under pressure: Rodionova has a slightly higher breakpoint save rate at 48.8% compared to Karatancheva's 45.5%, suggesting resilience when facing breakpoints.
• Annual match outcomes: Both players have similar win rates over the past year with 55% for Rodionova and 56.63% for Karatancheva. The head-to-head performance remains closely matched.
• Surface preference: Rodionova performs best on grass with a 59% win rate, while Karatancheva excels on clay with 55% wins, implying different strengths based on court type.
• Competitive level: Rodionova has a stronger record in lower-tier tournaments, winning 66.67% of matches. Could Rodionova's experience at this level make a difference?
• Opponent quality: Rodionova has faced higher-ranked opponents on average, with a rank of 265.52 compared to Karatancheva’s 374.14, possibly preparing her better for high-caliber matches.
• Deciding set reliability: If the match goes to a deciding set, Rodionova's 44% win rate is stronger than Karatancheva’s 35%, indicating better endurance and mental toughness.
• Breakpoint conversion: Both players show similar abilities in converting breakpoints, with Karatancheva slightly ahead at 43.84%, which is a crucial stat in tight games.

Editorial Prediction (May 11, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the statistics, Rodionova demonstrates stronger second serve return performance, essential for countering service games effectively.

While Karatancheva shows a marginal lead in breakpoint conversion and first serve return stats, Rodionova's edge in resilience under pressure and exposure to higher-ranked opponents could be decisive factors.

Rodionova's superior deciding set record suggests greater composure during critical match stages, potentially tipping the scales in her favor.

Overall, Rodionova seems more equipped to clinch victory in this matchup, capitalizing on her return game strengths and mental toughness.